{"id":31480,"date":"2021-10-21T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-20T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cansee.biz\/da-li-ce-se-cene-kontejnerskog-transporta-vratiti-na-nivo-pre-korone\/"},"modified":"2022-08-26T14:01:08","modified_gmt":"2022-08-26T12:01:08","slug":"da-li-ce-se-cene-kontejnerskog-transporta-vratiti-na-nivo-pre-korone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cansee.biz\/sr\/vesti\/da-li-ce-se-cene-kontejnerskog-transporta-vratiti-na-nivo-pre-korone\/","title":{"rendered":"Da li \u0107e se cene kontejnerskog transporta vratiti na nivo pre korone"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rastu\u0107\u0081a potra\u017enja za \u010ditavim nizom roba, nedostatak kontejnera, zakr\u010denost luka, premalo brodova, ali i pote\u0161ko\u0107e u obezbe\u0111ivanju radne snage, rezultovali su krizom transportnih kapaciteta na svim zna\u010dajnim pomorskim rutama. Razli\u010diti poreme\u0107aji u lancu snabdevanja prouzrokovani pandemijom, u kombinaciji sa dodatnim problemima, poput posledica blokade Sueckog kanala, doveli su vrtoglavnih vozarina i najvi\u0161ih zarada brodara jo\u0161 od 2018. godine. Sredinom septembra, prevoz kontejnera od 40 stopa od Kine do Evrope ko\u0161tao je neverovatnih 7-8 puta vi\u0161e nego ranije.<\/em><\/p>\n

Da li je posredi efekat balona koji \u0107e na kraju pu\u0107i ili se na tr\u017ei\u0161tu uspostavljaju nova pravila igre, jedno je od glavnih pitanja na koje se tra\u017ei odgovor.<\/p>\n

Iako su de\u0161avanja od marta pro\u0161le godine pokazala da je danas, vi\u0161e nego ikada, potrebno biti oprezan u davanju prognoza, predvi\u0111anja svetskih konsultantskih ku\u0107a uglavnom govore u prilog tezi da \u0107e sa sti\u0161avanjem pandemije i smanjenjem zagu\u0161enja do\u0107i i do pada cena. Sa druge strane, analiti\u010dari uglavnom zastupaju stav da se one ne\u0107e ni pribli\u017eiti nivou pre pandemije. Takvog mi\u0161ljenja je i zna\u010dajan deo predstavnika doma\u0107e transportno-logisti\u010dke industrije, koja se tokom proteklih meseci intezivno bori sa pote\u0161ko\u0107ama uzrokovanim visokim cenama kontejnerskog prevoza: „Sigurno je da se, dok tr\u017ei\u0161te bude prihvatalo rast cene transporta, koje vozari dr\u017ee na istorijskom maksimumu, normalizacija situacije  ne mo\u017ee o\u010dekivati. Kako imamo situaciju da je cena prekookeanskog kontejnerskog transporta vi\u0161a za oko 7-8 puta, ni\u0161ta drugo ne mo\u017eemo da o\u010dekujemo nego poskupljenja finalnih proizvoda i nesta\u0161ice na klju\u010dnim ta\u010dkama snabdevanja.“ \u2013 obja\u0161njava Neboj\u0161a \u010d\u0090eki\u0107, direktor prodaje i razvoja logisti\u010dke kompanije cargo-partner<\/a> u Srbiji.<\/p>\n

Me\u0111utim, postoji i niz faktora koji nam ulivaju optimizam i teraju nas da verujemo da \u0107e se situacija stabilizovati: „Trenutno se doga\u0111aju zna\u010dajni pritisci na strani tra\u017enje, a nedostatak opreme, zagu\u0161ene luke, smanjenje rade snage na brodovima, pristani\u0161tima, aerodromima, u drumskom transportu, jo\u0161 vi\u0161e su doprineli da se transportni kapaciteti smanje. Situacija sa cenama bi se donekle mogla stabilizovati kada se strabilizuje i tr\u017ei\u0161te, postepeno, u periodu od naredne dve, dve i po godine.“ \u2013 zaklju\u010duje \u010d\u0090eki\u0107.<\/p>\n

Svetski kontejnerski indeks (World Container Index) londonske konsultantske ku\u0107e Drewry, koja prati rute Istok-Zapad, posle godinu dana uzleta u prvoj nedelji oktobra zabele\u017eio je skroman pad od 2,2% u odnosu na sedmicu ranije. Kao uzrok tome, analiti\u010dari ku\u0107e Drewry navode odluku nekoliko vode\u0107ih brodskih prevoznika da zamrznu svoje cene sa obrazlo\u017eenjem „\u010duvanja dugoro\u010dnih odnosa sa klijentima“. Vlasnici robe, sa druge strane, ovakav potez ocenjuju kao kap u moru, budu\u0107i da su sada\u0161nje cene ve\u0107 vi\u0161estruko ve\u0107e u odnosu na pro\u0161logodi\u0161nji uporedni period.<\/p>\n

„Po\u0161to je uzroka za „ekploziju“ cena transporta mnogo, ne mo\u017ee se o\u010dekivati ni jednostavan rasplet doga\u0111aja, pa je te\u0161ko i predvideti u kom roku \u0107e do stabilizacije do\u0107i. Primera radi, postoji bojazan da bi se na krhke prilike u globalnoj trgovini sada mogla odraziti i nesta\u0161ica energije u kineskim lukama“ \u2013 navodi \u010d\u0090eki\u0107 i zaklju\u010duje da je sada najva\u017enije i od klju\u010dnog je zna\u010daja planiranje vr\u0161iti pa\u017eljivo i dugoro\u010dno. „To je ono \u0161to konstantno poru\u010dujemo svojim korisnicima. Svi smo jednostavno naterani da budemo oprezniji vi\u0161e nego ikada. I s obzirom da iza nas stoji vi\u0161edecenijsko iskustvo, svo svoje znanje i iskustvo usmeravamo da budemo konstantna podr\u0161ka svojim korisnicima, pronalaze\u0107i fleksibilna re\u0161enja kako bismo u\u010dinili da \u0161to manje osete posledice ovih nezapam\u0107enih turbulencija.“<\/p>\n

Russel Group izve\u0161tava da bi energetska kriza koja je zahvatila Kinu mogla da poremeti trgovinske tokove vredne \u010dak 120 milijardi dolara. Neke od klju\u010dnih kineskih luka, kao \u0161to su Ningbo, Guangzhou, Yantian i Shekou, nalaze se unutar pogo\u0111enih provincija.<\/p>\n

Ako posmatramo pokazatelje koji govore u prilog povratku na stabilniji nivo, osim pravila da nakon velikih socijalnih i privrednih potresa (kao \u0161to je pandemija COVID-19), u nekom trenutku tr\u017ei\u0161te uvek kre\u0107e ka balansu, na ubla\u017eavanje cena svakako \u0107e uticati i dodatni faktori. Me\u0111u njima je i podatak da prevoznici uveliko rade na uve\u0107anju sopstvenih kapaciteta, te da vode\u0107a svetska brodogradili\u0161ta intenzivno primaju porud\u017ebine za nove kontejnera\u0161e. Kada ugovoreni novi brodski kapaciteti budu operativni na tr\u017ei\u0161tu, moglo bi do\u0107i do bolje ravnote\u017ee ponude i potra\u017enje. O\u010dekuje se da bi se to moglo dogoditi u naredne dve godine, odnosno tokom 2023.<\/p>\n

Celokupna situacija zna\u010dajno je uticala i na kretanja u proizvodnji samih kontejnera. Vlasnici brodova sve \u010de\u0161\u0107e se odlu\u010duju da imaju kontejnere u svom posedu, \u0161to je uticalo na sna\u017ean zamah industrije i dovelo i ovde do rekordnih obima i cena. Prema procenama analiti\u010dara, ovogodi\u0161nja proizvodnja novih kontejnera mogla bi dosti\u0107i 5,2 miliona TEU (Twenty-Foot equivalent Unit<\/em>), \u0161to je 67% vi\u0161e nego 2020.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rastu\u0107\u0081a potra\u017enja za \u010ditavim nizom roba, nedostatak kontejnera, zakr\u010denost luka, premalo brodova, ali i pote\u0161ko\u0107e u obezbe\u0111ivanju radne snage, rezultovali…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28156,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[109],"tags":[116],"class_list":["post-31480","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vesti","tag-member-sr-2"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDa li \u0107e se cene kontejnerskog transporta vratiti na nivo pre korone • CANSEE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We are full-service member-drivern business association focused on creating and developing economic relationship between Canada and Serbia.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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